Month: August 2014

FirstNet and Broadband USA Converge – and we need the Myers Model(TM)

/ drmikemyers / Leave a comment

The Public Safety LTE & Mobile Broadband Market: 2014 – 2020

The Public Safety LTE & MobileBroadband Market: 2014 – 2020
Description
Considering its thriving ecosystem, spectrum flexibility and performance metrics, public safety organizations worldwide recognize LTE as the de-facto standard for mission critical mobile broadband communications. 
With spectrum already allocated, public safety agencies in the Middle East, Asia Pacific and the U.S have already begun to operate private LTE networks. Driven by public safety demands, LTE products can now also operate in spectrum bands previously unthinkable, such as the 400 MHz band, which is widely available to public safety agencies worldwide. Moreover, demands for tactical and rapidly deployable broadband solutions have also led vendors to develop private LTE base station products in a variety of innovative form factors such as Cell in a Box (CIAB) or airborne cells. 
SNS Research estimates the global spending on private LTE infrastructure including base stations (eNodeBs), mobile core (EPC) and backhaul will account for $2 Billion annually by the end of 2020. By the same time, the installed base of private public safety LTE base stations (eNode Bs) will reach nearly 155,000 globally, following a CAGR of nearly 60% between 2014 and 2020, and will serve nearly 4 Million private public safety LTE subscribers worldwide. 
However it is important to note that the transition to LTE is one of the will be one of the most complex technical changes the public safety communications industry will ever witness and will present challenges in its own right, particularly in the context of global standardization. Furthermore spectrum, regulatory and budgetary issues in certain regions such as Europe will delay large scale private deployments. 
Nonetheless, service prioritization partnerships with commercial LTE network carriers will create an ecosystem for operating public safety devices over commercial LTE networks during this transition period. We estimate that public safety LTE device shipments over commercial networks will account for nearly $7 Billion in annual revenue by the end of 2020. 
The “”The Public Safety LTE & Mobile Broadband Market: 2014 2020″” report presents an in-depth assessment of the global public safety LTE market, besides considering the wider LMR and mobile broadband industries. In addition to covering the business case, challenges, spectrum allocation strategies, industry roadmap, deployment case studies, vendor products, strategies, standardization activities and application ecosystem for public safety LTE, the report also presents comprehensive forecasts for mobile broadband, LMR and public safety LTE subscriptions from 2011 till 2020. Also covered are public safety LTE service revenues as well as device and infrastructure (eNodeB base stations, EPC mobile core, backhaul) shipment and associated revenue forecasts. 
The report comes with an associated XLS datasheet covering quantitative data from all figures presented within the report, as well as a list and associated details of 46 global private public safety LTE network deployments (as of Q1’2014). 
Key Findings: 
The report has the following key findings:
·       Global spending on private LTE infrastructure including base stations (eNodeBs), mobile core (EPC) and backhaul will account for $2 Billion annually by the end of 2020
·       By the same time, the installed base of private public safety LTE base stations (eNodeBs) will reach nearly 155,000, following a CAGR of nearly 60% between 2014 and 2020, and will serve nearly 4 Million private public safety LTE subscribers worldwide
·       As much as 15% of all public safety LTE investments will be military centric tactical deployments by 2020
·       Commercial carriers and public safety MVNOs will pocket nearly $7 Billion in public safety LTE service revenues by the end of 2020, following growth at a CAGR of 40% between 2014 and 2020
·       A large nationwide deployment such as FirstNet in the U.S. can save up to 40% in TCO (Total Cost of Ownership) over 10-years by opting for a public-private partnership rather than a private only investment
·       Almost all major LMR industry players are leveraging partnerships with established LTE infrastructure vendors such as Ericsson, Alcatel-Lucent and NSN, to offer end-to-end LTE solutions

FirstNet you have your first build — Kentucky! Way to go Governor Beshear!!

/ drmikemyers / Leave a comment
Doing it the right way! Kentucky has started its rollout of broadband. Well we are off to a great start. We do have our first State making a run for the Public Private Partnership model and we have many interested parties that want to partake.
Governor Steve Beshear’s Communications Office — Gov. Beshear, Congressman Rogers Announce Next Steps for Statewide High-Speed Broadband Project Friday July 11th, 2014
This will be great for the Commonwealth of Kentucky; it’s constituents; healthcare system; financial markets; economic development; education; Public Safety and First Responders. There be no fear because the Public Private Partnership is not a new format to execute large complex builds – just new to broadband, thus the Myers Model™ Public Private Partnership.
Out of the gate we have a tremendous amount of interest. We are making great strides with the private equity players, General Contractors, sub-contractors and vendors. We are also having a significant amount of success with commercial service entities willing to pump broadband throughout the entire State utilizing the State’s Public Private Partnership. As it was laid out in the Middle Class Tax Relief and Jobs Creation Act of 2012, any under-utilized or un-used bandwidth can be sold for commercial services and the Myers Model™ approach is perfectly setup to execute on that law.
The only issues we are having is that the State and its solicitation process do not align properly with the Private Equity pace of understanding and commitment. When you are negotiating a Billion dollars for a network, you don’t want to rush it. But, in the end the payoff is tremendous for the P3 entity as well as the State. It’s just a matter of time and patience.
There are a whole host of States that are watching the development in Kentucky, a few even disappointed that they didn’t execute first, but in the end at least we have forward movement in constructing the Nations Public Safety Broadband Network. As you can see for yourself the State has issued two RFPs. The first RFP is to construct the fiber optic backbone – better known as Phase 1.
Phase 1 Fiber Optic broadband deployment is in support all the State agencies and entities that require fiber connectivity. One of those stakeholders of this fiber optic network will be Public Safety, most importantly, FirstNet.  The fiber will be designed to accommodate the broadband wireless infrastructure throughout the State. This is the core fiber backbone and last mile access solution
Phase 2 is the wireless broadband (LTE) portion, better known as FirstNet. This wireless solution is a perfect addition to the broadband fiber solutions for the State, most specifically will be the re-prioritization of Public Safety being first. This is the mobility portion of the State’s broadband solution.
Phase 3 will be the applications layer of Managed Services as well as Security based operations, such as Cyber Security. This will be a significant piece to the puzzle in that it has the potential to reap the most benefits. This is where such platforms as interoperable cell service, NG-911, secure Public Safety Mobility, educational support structures, healthcare solutions, Utility SMART grid and many others will take place. These are the apps that will ride on top of the fiber and mobile wireless broadband solution for the State. 
By phasing it in this approach we manage to give time to the wireless portion and plan better for the applications layer.
I applaud Governor Beshear, and his staff, this really is a great plan….now lets give sometime for Private Equity to get onboard.

Just some guy and a blog…..